Master Trend Systems builds mechanical trading systems that read one input: price. Breakouts define entries. Volatility defines size. A hard stop defines the worst day. Every decision is written down before the market opens — so nothing is left to mood, news, or nerve.
PRICE-ONLY INPUTS · MECHANICAL EXECUTION · PRE-DEFINED EXITS
New here? Start the free course — Master Trend System 101Two of them are facts the market prints for you. Two of them are choices you make in advance. Nothing else gets a vote — not headlines, not forecasts, not how you feel about it.
Research tells you why a market might move. It never tells you when, or how much to put on. Our engine reads four numbers per bar — open, high, low, close — and asks one question: is this market making new ground, or not?
A market pushing to a new extreme is a market with buyers who are willing to pay up. That is a fact. A forecast is an opinion wearing a suit.
Volatility is measured as the average true range over the last 20 bars. We call it N. It is the market's normal daily distance, in the market's own currency.
N sets the stop, the position size, and the spacing between add-ons. A quiet market earns a bigger position; a violent one earns a smaller one. Your dollar risk stays flat while the market's mood changes underneath it.
Position size is calculated from current equity, recomputed every day. Not last month's peak. Not what you started with. There is no such thing as house money — an open profit and a closed profit spend exactly the same.
This one rule does the quiet work: it shrinks you automatically while you are losing and grows you automatically while you are winning, with no decision required.
You cannot control whether a trade wins. You control exactly one thing: how much it costs when it does not. That number is picked in advance and applied identically to every position.
Two accounts with the same equity, the same system and the same risk setting must take the same action. No exceptions, no "this one feels different." Discretion is where systems go to die.
The engine is running below, bar by bar. It buys the breakout, adds a unit every time the trend pays it another N, drags the stop up behind price, and books the result. The equity curve on the right is the same run, compounding as it goes.
Enters on a push through the 20-bar extreme and gives back less on the way out. More signals, more false starts, and a quicker turnaround when a real trend appears.
Simulated price series · $250,000 start · 1% risk per unit · 4 units max
An illustration of the rules, not a trading record
Move the dials. Position size falls out of the maths — it is never a gut call, and it is never "how confident do I feel about this one."
Drag the win rate down and the payoff up. Watch what actually drives the curve. A system that is wrong six times out of ten can comfortably out-earn one that is right half the time.
Losing streaks are guaranteed. What is not guaranteed is surviving them. For every 10% the account draws down, the engine cuts unit risk by 20% — automatically, and it restores as equity recovers.
Hover or tap any card to see what it costs the traders who ignore it.
New highs get bought. A market that just ran from 8 to 9 may never trade at 8 again.
Waiting for a pullback that never comes is how traders watch the best move of the year go past from the sidelines. Strength is evidence. Cheapness is a story.
← BackEven a random entry survives a good exit rule. A great entry cannot survive a bad one.
Most traders spend years polishing entry signals and never write down the exit. That is backwards. You should know where you are getting out before you are in.
← BackThe stop is placed with the entry and it does not get talked out of the way.
Every account that has ever blown up did it by holding one loser too long. One oversized, over-argued position undoes a hundred disciplined ones.
← BackA handful of trades each year produce the entire return. The rest are the cost of being there.
Skip trades because the last few lost and you will skip the one that mattered. You cannot know in advance which signal becomes the outlier — so you take all of them.
← BackIf moving a 50-day window to 51 changes the outcome, the system is fragile — not finely tuned.
A backtest tuned to perfection describes the past beautifully and predicts nothing. We deliberately leave performance on the table to keep the rules stable out of sample.
← BackStrategies that win nearly every day are usually selling insurance against a crash that has not arrived.
The hundred-year flood shows up every few years. We take our losses in small, visible, frequent pieces rather than saving them all for one catastrophic afternoon.
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